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NEW QUESTION: 1
Jimena Mora, CFA and Jack Wieters, CFA are economists for Otterbein Forecasting. Otterbein provides economic consulting and forecasting services for institutional investors, medium-sized investment banks, and corporations. In order to forecast the performance of asset classes and formulate strategic asset allocations, Mora and Wieters are currently examining the capital market expectations for four developed countries: Alzano, Lombardo, Bergamo, and Linden. Wieters was hired in 2009 and Mora is his supervisor.
Mora and Wieters use the Grinold and Kroner model to forecast equity market performance.
Macroeconomic forecasts and capital market expectations for three countries are given below:
PL-200 Detailed Study Plan
Mora is also examining the return on federal government bills and bonds of various maturities for the country of Linden. The data are provided below:
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One of Otterbein Forecasting's largest clients is an institutional investor in Linden, the Balduvi Endowment.
The current and potential asset allocations for the endowment are shown below:
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Mora asks Wieters for his opinion on the future of the economy in Linden and the appropriate investment for the Balduvi Endowment.
Mora has been asked by the Otterbein CEO to develop a model for explaining stock returns. In her master's degree training, Mora was instructed that the default risk premium has predictive power for stock returns, however the CEO has asked her to include other macroeconomic variables. Mora examines the following data for the capital market history of Bergamo:
1. Default risk premiums, which she measures as the difference in yields between high-yield bonds and government bonds;
2. Maturity risk premiums, which she measures as the difference in yields between ten-year and one-year government bonds; and
3. Lagged changes in the stock market.
Mora uses these variables to explain stock returns in the following year. Using 40 years of data, she finds the following results for the significance of the variables in explaining stock returns:
PL-200 Detailed Study Plan
Mora concludes from the correlation analysis that, of the three variables studied, the default risk premium has the most predictive power for stock returns.
As the most recent hire at Otterbein Forecasting, Wieters is well versed on the latest evidence on asset pricing and financial engineering. However, Mora suspects that his limited experience results in erroneous forecasts.
For instance, during the credit crisis of 2007-2008, annual stock returns in Lombardo averaged -12.6%.
However, using the 80-year history of its capital market, annual stock returns in Lombardo have averaged
13.6%. For his clients' strategic asset allocations in 2010 and onward, Wieters projects Lombardo stock returns of 6.5%. As his supervisor, Mora questions him about this and she suggests that Wieters revise his projections upward.
Mora and Wieters are discussing the valuation and risk analysis of emerging market securities and economies. In their discussion, Mora makes the following comments:
Statement 1: "Emerging countries are dependent on foreign financing of growth, but it is important that a country not take on too much debt. A financial crisis can lead to currency devaluations and capital flight.
Foreign debt levels greater than 50% of GDP or debt greater than 200% of current account receipts may indicate that a country is over-levered." Statement 2: "In financial crises, emerging market debt is particularly susceptible, as currency devaluations will quickly reduce the principal and coupon value. Because most emerging debt is denominated in a domestic currency, the emerging government must have foreign currency reserves to defend its currency in the foreign exchange markets." Using the Grinold and Kroner model, which of the three countries has the highest expected return for its equity market?
A. Alzano.
B. Bergamo.
C. Lombardo.
Answer: B
Explanation:
Explanation/Reference:
Explanation:
Using the Grinold and Kroner model, the expected return on a stock market is its dividend yield plus the inflation rare plus the real earnings growth rate minus the change in stock outstanding plus changes in the P/E ratio:
PL-200 Detailed Study Plan
The highest expected return is for Bergamo. The expected equity market return calculations for Alzano (A), Bergamo (B), and Lombardo (L) are:
PL-200 Detailed Study Plan
Note that when the change in stock outstanding decreases (i.e., stock is repurchased), this is to the investor's benefit (the repurchase yield is positive). Changes in the P/E ratio also affect the expected return. If investors think, for example, that stocks will be less risky in the future, the P/E ratio will increase, and the expected return on stocks increases. (Study Session 6, LOS 23.c)

NEW QUESTION: 2
An API product in Apigee can be used to
A. all of the above
B. configure the quota limits for APIs
C. restrict access to APIs in different environments
D. restrict access to a set of APIs
Answer: D

NEW QUESTION: 3
Select the description about XML parsers that is correct.
A. A Web browser always has an XML parser function incorporated within it.
B. An XML parser analyzes whether an XML document matches with XML specifications. W Courier Newlr Z
C. An XML parser does not verify whether the document structure in the DTD is being followed.
D. Error messages output by an XML parser are established by the W3C .
Answer: B

NEW QUESTION: 4
Identify three true statements regarding auto inclusion of items in a forecast process.
A. revenue items that are closed as lost
B. revenue items with a close date that falls within the forecast period
C. revenue items with "Always include" enabled, with override enabled in the forecast
D. revenue items that are closed as won
E. revenue items with "Always include" enabled, with no override enabled in the forecast
Answer: B


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